Putting Masters at a disadvantage is the finger pointing between the Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell-tied Senate Leadership Fund and Masters' billionaire mentor, Peter Thiel. He also backtracked on his hardline stance on abortion, having called himself "100% pro-life" and even advocating for a federal "personhood" law "that recognizes that unborn babies are human beings that may not be killed." Both of those have been scrubbed from his website, and he now describes his position in ads as "common sense," while trying to paint Kelly as an "extremist" on the issue. He ran an ad during his primary claiming falsely that Trump did win, but in the general election he says he now believes he didn't. He has tried to distance himself, for example, from Biden's border policies.įor Masters, it's been his shifting positions on whether Trump won the 2020 election and abortion. That's the hurdle for both incumbent Kelly and Masters.įor Kelly, it's the difficult economy and immigration in this border state that have put him on defense. Arizona is a place where Republicans outnumber Democrats and where independents really matter. Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly has led this race against Trump-backed Republican challenger Blake Masters for months, but as operatives in both parties have expected, this race has tightened considerably. Julia Nikhinson/Bloomberg via Getty Images Brandon Bell/Getty Images ARIZONA (D-Kelly) TOSS UPĭemocratic incumbent Mark Kelly, left, is holding up well against Trump-backed Republican Blake Masters, right, in the Arizona Senate race, but it's shaping up to be a tight finish. Harry Reid no longer running the state's political machine, that traditionally vaunted get-out-the-vote effort is going to be put to the test. In past years, Democrats have been able to mobilize their base to eke out close victories in Senate and presidential elections, but with the late Sen. Latinos are a key voting bloc here for Democrats, and the party needs them to turn out to vote. The state has high white- and Latino working-class populations, which have struggled to recover financially from the effects of the pandemic. His father was a senator and his grandfather a governor.ĭemocrats continue to say incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto is running a good campaign, but the political environment makes it an uphill battle. Trump-backed challenger Adam Laxalt, a former state attorney general who denies the result of the 2020 presidential election, is a political scion in the state. Republicans in recent weeks have started to feel very good about their chances here. Previous: 2Įlections Nevada campaigns see Latinos as key to winning elections If that happens, there's the very real possibility that control of the Senate won't be known until some time after then. Another factor: if no one gets above 50%, this race would head to a runoff on Dec. That means there are going to have to be a whole lot of Kemp-Warnock voters for Warnock to pull off reelection. Kemp is the heavy favorite in his race for reelection over Democrat Stacey Abrams. This is a state that will see lots of crossover voters, voting for both incumbent Republican Gov. Walker is staunchly - publicly - against abortion rights. Walker was boosted to the nomination by Trump, but has had a seemingly endless stream of controversies and scandals, from domestic violence accusations to the number of children he's fathered to women who say Walker urged them to get abortions. Republicans have struggled to define Warnock in this race, though they have tried to tie him to Biden's policies in this state that leans Republican, especially in a midterm with high inflation and Biden's approval rating under water.īut then there's the complication that is Walker for Republicans. Raphael Warnock against former University of Georgia and NFL star Herschel Walker. Megan Varner/Getty Images Elijah Nouvelage/Bloomberg via Getty Images Walker is facing allegations he paid an ex to have an abortion despite his hard-right stance on the issue. Republican Herschel Walker, left, is challenging incumbent Sen.
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